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Dec 7, 2012
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you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one would assume in terms of good or bad for the market, for the economy. >> kernen had a good point. does strength mean the economy could handle a cliff or is it so good you wouldn't want to tamper -- >> if i wanted to create a recession, what would i do? i would raise everybody's rates. i would cut the unemployment benefit. just trying to think of a theory of how i could cause a recession. i would cut back government spending quickly. >> i would raise interest rates to 20%. >> bernanke ought to join the -- look, i think
you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one...
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Dec 3, 2012
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how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the checks haven't been written for sandy. we've had about two weeks of checks coming from insurance companies. but there will be more probably next month of that than there is this month. so it will help. but it's the general market conditions and cars that are on average 11.1 years of age that are really driving car sales. in this low interest rate environment, this is the other big ticket item. >> how are people going to fund their purchases? you have an 11-year-old car, how are they funding the replacement of it? >> well, the availability of credit has improved dramatically over the last eight months or so. and we're even seeing people with bumps in their credit history, subprime borrowers, getting more acceptances of their car loans. and of course there are a lot of incentivized interest rates from the manufacturer's financing arms out there, as well. th
how much of this demand rise are we going to see will be sandy rebound from sandy and actually real demand? >> we have low interest rates and old cars on the road. so a lot of the demand is real demand. but the other thing is that all the checks haven't been written for sandy. we've had about two weeks of checks coming from insurance companies. but there will be more probably next month of that than there is this month. so it will help. but it's the general market conditions and cars that...
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Dec 3, 2012
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start first with the impact of sandy. is there one specific automaker that you think will benefit more from the impact of sandy as dealers have to reorder new cars? >> historically, actually trucks do better. they do better because you've got dealers taking care of inventory and you also have people going out that are in the business of basically doing work with trucks and they'll use this as an excuse to get it. you're looking probably at ford and gm on the truck side taking a lot. gm needs that upswing in trucks lig right now. >> how does this get counted as sales? customers may not have the cars yet but dealers are ordering the cars to try an make up for lost inventory. is that correct? >> basically, yeah. the minute the car or truck gets put on the haul-away, whether a rail head or a truck, that's when it transfers to the dealer. when you get down to it, the car companies don't sell cars to customers. their customer is the dealer and the dealer resells them. when you see sales you aren't seeing registrations. as a res
start first with the impact of sandy. is there one specific automaker that you think will benefit more from the impact of sandy as dealers have to reorder new cars? >> historically, actually trucks do better. they do better because you've got dealers taking care of inventory and you also have people going out that are in the business of basically doing work with trucks and they'll use this as an excuse to get it. you're looking probably at ford and gm on the truck side taking a lot. gm...
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Dec 7, 2012
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no substantive sandy in the jobs numbers. the lack of sandy effect has us scratching our heads, what they said. i just got off the phone with the guy who's the head of doing the numbers, labor numbers at the bls. he walked me through the rather extensibilive process they did fine out if there was any sandy effect, including sampling of businesses in a flood tide areas. >> it was very meticulous. >> i'm pretty convinced they did a good job figuring out if there was an effect and there is no effect which brings us to the numbers which you could believe on face value as much as you can. they'll revise this again. they only come forward with 60% to 70% of the sample. unemployment rate falling 7.7% because largely a drop in the labor force. average hourly earnings up 0.2%. despite positive headlines, xwoeld man sax says we interpret this report as one only slightly better than expected overall given downward revisions and weaker labor force and it does not change our assessment of the underlying strength of the labor market. priva
no substantive sandy in the jobs numbers. the lack of sandy effect has us scratching our heads, what they said. i just got off the phone with the guy who's the head of doing the numbers, labor numbers at the bls. he walked me through the rather extensibilive process they did fine out if there was any sandy effect, including sampling of businesses in a flood tide areas. >> it was very meticulous. >> i'm pretty convinced they did a good job figuring out if there was an effect and...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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how much is blamed on sandy when it shouldn't? >> everything blamed on sandy. that's going to work for a while. once you dig into the details, wait a minute, this isn't all sandy. because the east coast is a very big part of the -- >> obviously oh, yes. >> the economy. >> everybody who has gone through sandy. >> chicago is a big part, texas, california, they weren't affected directly by sandy. so that will come back much quicker if it's going to come back. that's where you have to look, to see what the trend was beforehand. >> okay. now europe. you know, there was a little bit of a -- a confusion this morning when spain asked for a bailout. they're talking bank bailout, country bailout, new program. rates are down. i've seen many stories, if this is really going to be a positive rates being down, we have to really draw in more global investors. do you think that will happen ultimately? >> ultimately, i do think it will. any time europe gets pushed to the background, i'm kind of pleased. as long as their banking system isn't going to affect ours, i think we can
how much is blamed on sandy when it shouldn't? >> everything blamed on sandy. that's going to work for a while. once you dig into the details, wait a minute, this isn't all sandy. because the east coast is a very big part of the -- >> obviously oh, yes. >> the economy. >> everybody who has gone through sandy. >> chicago is a big part, texas, california, they weren't affected directly by sandy. so that will come back much quicker if it's going to come back. that's...
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Dec 7, 2012
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hurricane sandy, though, still making waves. analysts expect the super storm to dent unemployment figures out later today. we'll review that report when we come back. >>> here are the headlines. u.s. job growth is expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. japanese authorities have lifted all tsunami warnings after a 7.3 magnitude quake struck off the northeastern coast. and bundesbank has sharply lowered germany's growth outlook from 1.6 to a mere 0.4%. it's warned of an imminent recession as problems in europe periphery weigh. futures at the moment forecasts a soft start. down 15 at the moment on the dow, nasdaq currently called down 3.8, and s&p 500 around 1.5 points. european stocks are flat really. forgave points for the ftse, xetra dax is up though at it highest level since 2008. up nearly 28% this year. flat on the cac, ibex down two thirds. but hurricane sandy is expected to have put a pretty big accident in the november u.s. jobs report. it's out at 8:30 eastern. nonfarm p
hurricane sandy, though, still making waves. analysts expect the super storm to dent unemployment figures out later today. we'll review that report when we come back. >>> here are the headlines. u.s. job growth is expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. japanese authorities have lifted all tsunami warnings after a 7.3 magnitude quake struck off the northeastern coast. and bundesbank has sharply lowered germany's growth outlook from 1.6...
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Dec 7, 2012
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now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation rate, down 0.2 to 63.6%. how did we get to 7.7% unemployment? basically the number of unemployed persons dropped more than the number of employed and there were downward trends in both those categories. lots to chew on. back to you guys. >> hampton, thank you. we are kind of scratching our heads. let's get more reaction from our panel. mark zandi and jared bernstein are here with us. mark, what do you make of this number? we've set this up as numbers were not going to be things we watched closely because of sandy. >> i'd say two things
now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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sandy. post-sandy storm. buying in the new york, new jersey area. in fact when you talk with dealers in that area they say they saw sales gained throughout the month and that's good news for luxury automakers. bmw just reported sales increasing 38.8% for the year. they've sold almost a quarter million bmws here in the united states and as a company, when you lump in mini , they believe they'll excel past the record of 2007. let's look at the monthly sales rate or annual sales rate. right now we are on track to finish this year probably at about 14 1/2 million. that's going to fall shy of the 16 million in 2007 but above what we saw in 2008. it's certainly what we were expecting and we'll have even stronger numbers in december. >> it is a really good numbers from honda as well. phil lebeau, thank you for that. >>> twint che >>> i want to check back in with jackie deangelis. president taking questions via twitter. >> the first question was@paulmmckenzie. can you assure us that any fiscal cliff negotiations regarding entitlement reform will not hurt th
sandy. post-sandy storm. buying in the new york, new jersey area. in fact when you talk with dealers in that area they say they saw sales gained throughout the month and that's good news for luxury automakers. bmw just reported sales increasing 38.8% for the year. they've sold almost a quarter million bmws here in the united states and as a company, when you lump in mini , they believe they'll excel past the record of 2007. let's look at the monthly sales rate or annual sales rate. right now we...
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Dec 3, 2012
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particularly on the consumer side as well, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to 2013. >> are you buying the market on any pullback? >> i like the santa claus rally with josh and would be raising cash. i think the risk in the markets further on the down side than the up side. but when you see some real pullbacks, buy the stock if you like it. >> morgan stanley's top market watcher has been bearish all year and not ready to change his mind. adam parker joins us live. welcome back to halftime. good to see you. >> how are you, scott? >> 1167 is where you thought we would be at the end of the year. you'll be far short. why aren't you willi
particularly on the consumer side as well, because of sandy. so i think in the meantime, until we get a resolution, i've said before, i think you're going to be in a trading range. and i think into the strength of the market, you want to take some off, never bad to have some cash. but on these pullbacks, i think you want to be buying, because i actually think the economy is getting better, particularly when you look at housing, consumer, even auto and aerospace, all those data points point to...
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Dec 6, 2012
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as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this number is going to tell us nothing tomorrow? > know there's going to be a lot of discussion about it. i'll stick to my guns, it's a 125 to 150 economy growth some of that could be sandy. i don't donknow if you want to k about that chart. this looks at the net effect acceptable. if 30% say it's acceptable and 20% say -- these are what we asked people. how many is that? that's five of eight different solutions. >> people say, yes, we're okay dealing with the fiscal cliff, if you raise taxes on those who make more than $250,000 and then you cap deductions, and virtually everything else is off the table. >>
as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000. >> that will add some jobs, that's not a fair comparison. >> so 200,000 minus 60 is 150 -- >> so you're right there. >> i don't think the economy has chang chang changed deappreciably over the last year. >> well, i think coming into friday's number, we're a little -- we don't think there's 80,000 worth of impact, might be closer to 40,000 or 50,000. whatever, there's been an impact and i agree with mark's point, 1 in about 150,000 job creation in the economy and i don't know that meaningfully changes. but i would say, if anything, the bias next year
you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000....
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Dec 3, 2012
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some of that is attribute knowledge to superstorm sandy. an estimated quarter million vex were destroyed. those numbers will be out this morning. it would only say that it is speaking to, quote, interested parties. but delta air lines is involved in those sdgzs. virgin is the second largest airline at heath row. >>> and lenny dykstra will be sentenced today. he was found to have hidden and stole sports memorabilia other items that were supposed to be part of a bankruptcy filing. >>> the game of political chicken, we were looking to rise above the partisan politics and trying to get something done. david walker, ceo of the america comeback initiative, steve mcmahon, co-founder of purple strategies, you guys have been on for a while and we've talked about a lot of things. steve, just 1:30 ag ago, you made a point talking about the bush tax cuts. and i said the tax cuts have been near and dear and you said at least bush was smart enough to know that we couldn't afford them so they were sunseted. >> so they were sunseted. >> that may happen. in
some of that is attribute knowledge to superstorm sandy. an estimated quarter million vex were destroyed. those numbers will be out this morning. it would only say that it is speaking to, quote, interested parties. but delta air lines is involved in those sdgzs. virgin is the second largest airline at heath row. >>> and lenny dykstra will be sentenced today. he was found to have hidden and stole sports memorabilia other items that were supposed to be part of a bankruptcy filing....
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Dec 10, 2012
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i'm worried about the sandy. you've got to keep interest in the end. insurance companies, got to keep capital free. >> i wanted to mention, we mentioned this on friday, the chinese have been aggressive, setting records in terms of merger and acquisition volume. we talked about this on friday, take a look across the borders from china, that helps the story. that $15 billion deal did get approved from the canadian government. they do own some assets in the gulf of mexico. although that is not expected to be problematic at this point. but take a look at what happened in the stocks on friday. that, after we received word there would be a statement from the canadian prime minister. that freaked a lot of risk arms out. did not have a lot of conviction here. thinking, why is it going to come out with a statement if they're approving the deal. you come out and say something if you weren't. but they did come out with a statement and indicated perhaps we won't see any more of these large deals. comp stock is up, as you might expect. >> you heard this deal will b
i'm worried about the sandy. you've got to keep interest in the end. insurance companies, got to keep capital free. >> i wanted to mention, we mentioned this on friday, the chinese have been aggressive, setting records in terms of merger and acquisition volume. we talked about this on friday, take a look across the borders from china, that helps the story. that $15 billion deal did get approved from the canadian government. they do own some assets in the gulf of mexico. although that is...
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the united nations using the tragedy of superstorm sandy, tragedy of superstorm sandy, trying to get c c c c c [beep] [speaking foreign language] [heart beating] [heartbeat continues] [faint singing] [heartbeat, musiclaying louder] ♪ i'm feeling better since you know me ♪ ♪ i was a lonely soul, but that's the old me... ♪ announcer: this song was created with heartbeats of children in need. find out w it can help frontline health workers bring hope to llions of children at everybeatmatters.org. ♪ remember when ♪ ♪ 30 seemed so old ♪ now looking back ♪ ♪ it's just a stepping stone ♪ to where we are ♪ where we've been ♪ said we'd do it all again ♪ remember when >> welcome back, playing the sandy card for the green agenda? it's true, the united nations pow wowing this week and using super storm sandy the reason why. and countries could pay up to 100 billion dollar to finance a green climate funds and help the poor nations fight global warming and one of the u.s. top scientists saying the is he vseverity of the storm is no coincidence. >> that's nonsense, i wan
the united nations using the tragedy of superstorm sandy, tragedy of superstorm sandy, trying to get c c c c c [beep] [speaking foreign language] [heart beating] [heartbeat continues] [faint singing] [heartbeat, musiclaying louder] ♪ i'm feeling better since you know me ♪ ♪ i was a lonely soul, but that's the old me... ♪ announcer: this song was created with heartbeats of children in need. find out w it can help frontline health workers bring hope to llions of children at...
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Dec 4, 2012
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of sandy jobless claims relative to katrina. if we don't have that chart -- there it is, great. it goes up and now we're in the down. it may pop back. but the trouble is that the big surge there is probably in the week of -- or is going to affect the week of the employment survey. >> the last week. >> and now, guys, if you have the next one back there, i don't know if you have it, you can see there what we show there is we're looking for only 80,000 jobs on friday. 95 in the private sector. that's a big jobs -- it might be hurricane related, but it could also be cliff related. there's these two things just backing up what joe said, folks, we've got enough to worry about without the stuff that we could probably fix and move on, there's enough going on. you can see that we're going to be substantially below the six-month average that we've been running there. and that shows that, you know, we were not robust to begin with, and this is why guys at the fed are concerned about things like this. if you're going 3% or 4% gdp, you have
of sandy jobless claims relative to katrina. if we don't have that chart -- there it is, great. it goes up and now we're in the down. it may pop back. but the trouble is that the big surge there is probably in the week of -- or is going to affect the week of the employment survey. >> the last week. >> and now, guys, if you have the next one back there, i don't know if you have it, you can see there what we show there is we're looking for only 80,000 jobs on friday. 95 in the private...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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jobless claims coming in, down and this number should be essentially clean of sandy effects, so finally a clean read as to the claims aspect. but it doesn't look like, jim, that we are set for a lower open today. >> carl pointed out that maybe there's some room between sides. but, look, yesterday was one of those days, show a lot of americans don't even know about the fiscal cliff. paychecks are going to go down, a million layoffs in the defense industry. no one seems to care right now. it's bad. >> you know what we have going for us? the grid, december 17 announced -- on a seasonal basis, they have reiterated once again that it doesn't have the demand to be sold year round, but starting a week from monday. >> i don't buy that. i think they do it because whenever they have mcrib, they're just fighting traffic for mcrib. there are places in the world where the mcrib is on the menu all the time. in case you're there on your vacation. >> i'm learning here all the time. i'm always learning. >> switch from the bacon cheese-inator. [ bell rings ] . >> celebrating the ground breaking of hotels
jobless claims coming in, down and this number should be essentially clean of sandy effects, so finally a clean read as to the claims aspect. but it doesn't look like, jim, that we are set for a lower open today. >> carl pointed out that maybe there's some room between sides. but, look, yesterday was one of those days, show a lot of americans don't even know about the fiscal cliff. paychecks are going to go down, a million layoffs in the defense industry. no one seems to care right now....
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it's true, the united nations pow wowing this week and using super storm sandy the reason why. and countries could pay up to 100 billion dollar to finance a green climate funds and help the poor nations fight global warming and one of the u.s. top scientists saying the is he vseverity of the storm is no coincidence. >> that's nonsense, i want a clean earth as much as anyone else. they can skim down the single hurricane on one facto or burning coal is nonsense. we had a bad hurricane in new england in the 30's and they didn't blame that on burning coal. we're burning a lot more coal relativeo the economy than we are now. there are control freaks out there. there are control freaks, they'll use something to control people and used it for y2k and there are control freaks on the environment. >> have you noticed even in your intro, you heard them citing one scientist. it's never a collection of scientists, never aonsensus of scientists, it's always they're referencing of one particular scientists. >> and in fact, it almost is always a consensus of scientists. in this case, one perso
it's true, the united nations pow wowing this week and using super storm sandy the reason why. and countries could pay up to 100 billion dollar to finance a green climate funds and help the poor nations fight global warming and one of the u.s. top scientists saying the is he vseverity of the storm is no coincidence. >> that's nonsense, i want a clean earth as much as anyone else. they can skim down the single hurricane on one facto or burning coal is nonsense. we had a bad hurricane in...
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sandy is showing us the drill. traveling widely taking a carry on with the must have items. earlier this year, on a trip to italy, things got off to a rocky start for sandy and her husband. >> they're told on the plane before we got on the plane that the overhead bins were full. check your carry on. which is what we did. >> then, what happened? >> then, we got to rome exit wasn't there. >> took took insights and sounds of italy. they bought new. luggage arrived they went to pick it up. >> we had to go to naples, pick it up. and that was probably an hour ride on the bus. and then, we had to take a cab from the airport to the train station where we were going to roevm -- rome. >> sandy put in a claim for cost. >> under wear, pajamas, a sweater, jacket, then we had to$1b+Ñ buy a bus ticket to the naples airport then cab fare to the train station. >> what did she bill the airline? less than 70s itdz can't come, so i decided okay. 7 on your side is going to be my way of getting the money back. soy did contact 7 on your side. and was called back. he contacted the airlines and i g
sandy is showing us the drill. traveling widely taking a carry on with the must have items. earlier this year, on a trip to italy, things got off to a rocky start for sandy and her husband. >> they're told on the plane before we got on the plane that the overhead bins were full. check your carry on. which is what we did. >> then, what happened? >> then, we got to rome exit wasn't there. >> took took insights and sounds of italy. they bought new. luggage arrived they went...
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Dec 10, 2012
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sandy, fiscal cliff. but as a result, the ones that fall and come down a lot, those are the ones you pick at. >> and pope benedict is launching a new application. pope to you on facebook. the application lets you listen to his words, see his pictures and receive messages of congratulations through virtual post cards. >>> all right, all right, sema? >> hewlitt packard jumping nearly 4%. carl may be interested in the company. hp facing serious issues and the stock faulling 44%. own an fast money at 5:00, we want to know if you think they can rise from the dead. >> thank so much. >>> final trades up next when we come back on "halftime." s. i d'. i have obligations. cute obligations, but obligations. i need to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackrock. call 1-800-ishares for a prospectus which includes inve
sandy, fiscal cliff. but as a result, the ones that fall and come down a lot, those are the ones you pick at. >> and pope benedict is launching a new application. pope to you on facebook. the application lets you listen to his words, see his pictures and receive messages of congratulations through virtual post cards. >>> all right, all right, sema? >> hewlitt packard jumping nearly 4%. carl may be interested in the company. hp facing serious issues and the stock faulling...
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Dec 3, 2012
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now we are about to make the same mistakes with respect to the clean up of sandy that we made when we wasted tens of millions with katrina. i am radical on this. my feeling is if we are going to help the victims, give the money to the victims. or to the salvation army or the red cross or the kinds of institutions we know are providing the real help. do not give it to the politics and the state. that is a middle class taking away 10 percent or 20 percent of the money. >>neil: who gave charlie for the money, i an herery of charlie, in had case, sam, uncle sam. how close to the $42 billion will the governor get or a comparable sum that the governors of new jersey and connecticut are looking at? >>guest: they will get almost all of it. when does congress say know to any of the people? our hearts bleed for the people who lost their homes to the terrible storm so you have the victims, they will put them on tv and say you got to give us the hundred and that brings me to a second point. if we are going to give, it will probably be well over $50 billion, why not have a policy when we have a cr
now we are about to make the same mistakes with respect to the clean up of sandy that we made when we wasted tens of millions with katrina. i am radical on this. my feeling is if we are going to help the victims, give the money to the victims. or to the salvation army or the red cross or the kinds of institutions we know are providing the real help. do not give it to the politics and the state. that is a middle class taking away 10 percent or 20 percent of the money. >>neil: who gave...
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Dec 4, 2012
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>> we know it will be worse than it would have been because of super storm sandy. so you didn't know how much it was to do with that and how much was the economy. so it will be a bit of a wash in terms of reading the tea leaves for the u.s. >> so the growth picture for the u.s., we sort of 1%, 2%, depending on what happens with the fiscal cliff. what do you think, 2.5%? >> yeah, i think we should be 2.5% to 3% by the end of next year. >> which might be a slightly better outturn. china seems to be back on track. is there anything in europe -- what's the tail risk at the moment? >> i think there's two things that could still go wrong in europe. one, there's always political risk. in italy, you do have elections coming up. there's a chance getting a higher share than people anticipate. but even then, the financial forces are going to force any government that comes into power to more or less stick to the plan morsi set out. on the other hand, there's always spain, the worries that with 25% unemployment, that you would see the default rate particularly on residential m
>> we know it will be worse than it would have been because of super storm sandy. so you didn't know how much it was to do with that and how much was the economy. so it will be a bit of a wash in terms of reading the tea leaves for the u.s. >> so the growth picture for the u.s., we sort of 1%, 2%, depending on what happens with the fiscal cliff. what do you think, 2.5%? >> yeah, i think we should be 2.5% to 3% by the end of next year. >> which might be a slightly better...
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Dec 10, 2012
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some of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have a little bit more certainty on taxes, on regulation, and the trajectory of fiscal policy going forward. >> what i hear you both saying, though, and you're talking about spending issue, and not worrying so much about that, but i also hear you saying it would be a big mistake to raise taxes. >> absolutely. yeah. >> but the top 2%, is that the least deleterious people to raise it on? >> yeah, it would be. but right now i'd prefer not to raise taxes on anybody. but if you're going to do it, then the people at the lowest propensity to consume -- >> you d
some of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have...
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Dec 7, 2012
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superstorm sandy caused work interruptions in the northeast but the weather had a minimal impact on the employment. >>> and millions of people receiving extended unemployment would lose them without an agreement to avoid the fiscal cliff sometime soon. here's danielle nottingham with where both sides stand on this friday. >> 2, 1. >> reporter: before the first family lit the national christmas tree, president obama said the mandatory spending cuts and tax hikes that could kick in 25 days from now are threatening to ruin the holidays for millions of americans. >> the american people are counting on this getting solved. >> reporter: the two parties are leaving negotiations to the two main power brokers, president obama and house speaker john boehner. >> if the president doesn't agree with our proposal, he has an obligation to families and small businesses to offer a plan of his own. a plan that can pass both chambers of the congress. >> reporter: with the clock ticking toward the fiscal cliff deadline, government workers have joined the push but they want to make sure they're not cut out
superstorm sandy caused work interruptions in the northeast but the weather had a minimal impact on the employment. >>> and millions of people receiving extended unemployment would lose them without an agreement to avoid the fiscal cliff sometime soon. here's danielle nottingham with where both sides stand on this friday. >> 2, 1. >> reporter: before the first family lit the national christmas tree, president obama said the mandatory spending cuts and tax hikes that could...
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Dec 10, 2012
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nonfarm payrolls roads by 136,000 as the hit from hurricane sandy wasn't quite as bad as feared. the unemployment rate fell to a new low of 7.7%, but that was largely because many people had given up looking for work. and nearly half of u.s. companies say they would pull back on hiring if the economy goes over the fiscal cliff. now joining me on krn, jim cash. good morning and thanks for joining us. >> good morning. thank you. >> tell us a little bit about the results of this survey which indicate that companies have been reacting to the fiscal cliff by pulling back on spending or hiring. why haven't we seen that show up in the jobs report? is there a concern that we might see more of a pullback into next year? >> i think that's exactly what this survey is saying. about 50% have already taken some action. i think companies right now are waiting to see what's going to happen and it really comes down to two major issues. if we can get this fiscal cliff issue resolved, then we are looking at a pretty optimismic outlook from our members. but if we don't get the fiscal cliff, almost 6
nonfarm payrolls roads by 136,000 as the hit from hurricane sandy wasn't quite as bad as feared. the unemployment rate fell to a new low of 7.7%, but that was largely because many people had given up looking for work. and nearly half of u.s. companies say they would pull back on hiring if the economy goes over the fiscal cliff. now joining me on krn, jim cash. good morning and thanks for joining us. >> good morning. thank you. >> tell us a little bit about the results of this survey...
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Dec 10, 2012
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the jerseys can industry suffered the biggest drop thanks to superstar sandy. atlantic city's casino revenue slipped nearly 28%. each of the city's 12 casinos reported declines with for down for a month. we continue our "countdown to the closing bell" with liz claman. liz: the fiscal cliff talk is everywhere, always good to be hearing about lately, but is there really something else that can be bubbling under the surface that could send the market into a tailspin that we should be talking about now? join me in a fox business exclusive, 2003 nobel laureate in economics and nyse will institute director. he has a whole institute for volatility. spotting risk. we thought let's bring you in and talk about noo the fiscal cliff of the three hidden risks people should be talking about but aren't. how did you identify them? >> there are lots of things people worry about, but which of the really big ones and what kind of a timefram time frame ae talking about? decade?out next week or next we talk about the big risk to have to look further in the future. liz: the next yea
the jerseys can industry suffered the biggest drop thanks to superstar sandy. atlantic city's casino revenue slipped nearly 28%. each of the city's 12 casinos reported declines with for down for a month. we continue our "countdown to the closing bell" with liz claman. liz: the fiscal cliff talk is everywhere, always good to be hearing about lately, but is there really something else that can be bubbling under the surface that could send the market into a tailspin that we should be...
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still willing from super storm sandy here in the northeast. peter barnes in washington with the latest on that effort. speaker according to "the new york times" for white house will be looking for about $50 billion to help rebuild from hurricane sandy. officials testifying declined to comment that number but they did say the white house will be sending in disaster relief bill up to congress by the end of the week. the three hardest hit states: new york, new jersey and connecticut alone are seeking $80 billion in federal help. the administration is teeing up a big request. >> much of the impact of sandy go beyond fema programs. fema's assistance is limited, maximum benefits of individual family could receive is about $31,000 if they have no assurance. others that will not rebuild destroyed or damaged home to did not have insurance. >> woke up to this headline. u.s. denies aid to the maryland storm victims. this is the picture of the face of maryland going through the storm. i will not show you the pictures of the lower shore this morning. >> a
still willing from super storm sandy here in the northeast. peter barnes in washington with the latest on that effort. speaker according to "the new york times" for white house will be looking for about $50 billion to help rebuild from hurricane sandy. officials testifying declined to comment that number but they did say the white house will be sending in disaster relief bill up to congress by the end of the week. the three hardest hit states: new york, new jersey and connecticut...
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. >> sandy is showing us her usual drill. she travels widely and always takes a carry-on with the must-have item. earlier this year on a trip to italy things got off to a rocky start for season -- sandy and her husband. >> we were told when we first got on the bag before we got on the plane the overhead bins were full so you must check your carry-on, so we did. >> then what happened. >> we got to rome and it wasn't there. >> they took in the sights and sounds of italy, but without underwear, of course, so they bought new. when their luggage finally arrived, they went to pick it up. >> we had to go to naples to pick it up. and that was probably an hour ride on the bus from where we were. then we had to take a cab from the airport in naples to the train station in rome. it happens so she put in a bill for her costs. >> underwear, a sweater, a jacket, and we had to buy a bus ticket from there to the naples airport and cab fair to the train station. >> and what did she bill the airline? less than $70. >> it didn't come, it didn't
. >> sandy is showing us her usual drill. she travels widely and always takes a carry-on with the must-have item. earlier this year on a trip to italy things got off to a rocky start for season -- sandy and her husband. >> we were told when we first got on the bag before we got on the plane the overhead bins were full so you must check your carry-on, so we did. >> then what happened. >> we got to rome and it wasn't there. >> they took in the sights and sounds of...
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. >> sandy is showing us her usual drill. she travels widely and always takes a carry-on with the must-have item. on a trip to italy things got off to a rocky start for season and her husband. >> we were told when we first got on the bag before we got on the plane the overhead bins were full so you must check your carry-on, so we did. >> then what happened. >> we got to rome and it wasn't there. >> they took in the sites and sounds of italy but without underwear, of course, so they bought new. when their luggage finally arrived, they went to pick it up. >> we had to go to naples to pick it up. and that was probably an hour ride on the bus from where we were. then we had to take a cab from the airport in nap else -- naples to the train station in rome. it happens so she put in a bill for her costs. >> underwear, a sweater, a jacket, and we had to buy a bus ticket from there to the naples airport and cab fair to the train station. >> and what did she bill the airline? less than $70. >> it didn't come, it didn't come, it didn't
. >> sandy is showing us her usual drill. she travels widely and always takes a carry-on with the must-have item. on a trip to italy things got off to a rocky start for season and her husband. >> we were told when we first got on the bag before we got on the plane the overhead bins were full so you must check your carry-on, so we did. >> then what happened. >> we got to rome and it wasn't there. >> they took in the sites and sounds of italy but without underwear,...
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Dec 8, 2012
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we can argue about whether or not the impact of sandy was or was not calculated. it is an undeniable the trajectory is positive. the one thing i think everyone you will speak to i believe is that there is a sense that if we can reach and act like adults and reach an agreement here on the fiscal cliff, the upside is much higher even than the downside is if we don't. that is what we should be looking forward to. we should do that now. think of how many people out there making a judgment of whether or not they will spend another $300 on christmas gifts if they think next month they are going to have $260 less in their paycheck. thank you all very much. thank you all. good luck to you. good luck. thank you. than kyou k you. [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] >> this past thursday, south carolina and senator jim demint announced he is retiring from the senate. his colleague and fellow south carolina senator lindsey graham pay him tribute on the senate floor. >> madam president, i met with jim
we can argue about whether or not the impact of sandy was or was not calculated. it is an undeniable the trajectory is positive. the one thing i think everyone you will speak to i believe is that there is a sense that if we can reach and act like adults and reach an agreement here on the fiscal cliff, the upside is much higher even than the downside is if we don't. that is what we should be looking forward to. we should do that now. think of how many people out there making a judgment of...
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. >> the november jobs report is expected out today and superstar on sandy is going to be a key factor when the numbers do come out. economists predict job growth last month slow because of the storm. the reports silver lining to be that-the storm, the job market is strengthening. those numbers are expected to come out at 530 local time. we will be keeping an eye on them throughout the kron 4 morning news. >> the time is 4:13 a.m. on your morning news--friday morning. we will be back with the kron 4 morning news when we come morning erica will have your traffic and janu at your weather and we will have more headlines. welcome back the time is for 3:00 p.m.. local reservoirs have seen a much needed increase in water level since last week end storms. reservoirs in santa clara improved significantly with the rain fall, but levels are still not exactly where they need to be. since last wednesday, the santa clara valley water district says ever stores and their 10 reservoirs' increased from 74 to 91 percent of weather should normally be. that's an increase of nearly 4 billion gal. of water.
. >> the november jobs report is expected out today and superstar on sandy is going to be a key factor when the numbers do come out. economists predict job growth last month slow because of the storm. the reports silver lining to be that-the storm, the job market is strengthening. those numbers are expected to come out at 530 local time. we will be keeping an eye on them throughout the kron 4 morning news. >> the time is 4:13 a.m. on your morning news--friday morning. we will be...
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david: hurricane sandy, so one figure that said it may have cost the lives of 250 cars. not all of them will be replaced, but most of them will be. it is an awful way to get it, but a boost for the auto industry, right? >> absolutely. many will be new cars, so you're looking at a nice boost in sales and the good thing is because these cars had they been replaced the normal cycle would noandnot have all come at once. do not take a bbg piece of the future buying cycle. a nice silver lining. david: now chrysler is an italian car company. the italians, the parent company is going to awful times. quitting because of the sales. is there any possibility. now they are not supposed to do this, but is there any possibility tie-ins will pour some of the profits they're making from chrysler here and use them to pay out the parent company in italy? >> i suppose the possibilities are always there. certainly talking about a global company to the extent you're doing better in one market and then another is always a bit of shifting around. at this point i think north america for all the
david: hurricane sandy, so one figure that said it may have cost the lives of 250 cars. not all of them will be replaced, but most of them will be. it is an awful way to get it, but a boost for the auto industry, right? >> absolutely. many will be new cars, so you're looking at a nice boost in sales and the good thing is because these cars had they been replaced the normal cycle would noandnot have all come at once. do not take a bbg piece of the future buying cycle. a nice silver lining....
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Dec 8, 2012
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governors of those three states estimate that combined damage from the sandy topped $80 billion. >> secretary of state hillary clinton will testify before congress about september's deadly attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi libya. four americans including u.s. ambassador christopher stevens were killed. the attack raised questions about the security of the consulate and clinton's testimony will coincide next week with the release of a report by an independent panel. >>> the winner of the other half $587 million powerball jackpot is a man from a wealthy phoenix suburb. he wants to remain anonymous and wants his money now. the jackpot was the second largest in the nation's history. the winner bought $10 in tickets. he and his wife will take the cash option. because of the uncertain tax situation posed by the impasse of the fiscal cliff. >> good call. clarendon, pennsylvania has a throat cheer about. it's powerhouse high school football team was featured on the cbs evening news on thursday night and on friday night they beat port allegheny 44-12 for it's 62nd consecutive win. that's the lo
governors of those three states estimate that combined damage from the sandy topped $80 billion. >> secretary of state hillary clinton will testify before congress about september's deadly attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi libya. four americans including u.s. ambassador christopher stevens were killed. the attack raised questions about the security of the consulate and clinton's testimony will coincide next week with the release of a report by an independent panel. >>> the...
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Dec 10, 2012
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we should note that the folks in new york hit hard by hurricane sandy are still paying, on average, $3.81 a gallon, 50 cents more than the rest of the country. prices there are also expected to start coming down. matt, back to you. >> tom costello, thank you very much. savann savannah? >>> the first family attended a party last night. peter alexander has more on this story. good morning to you. >> reporter: savannah, good morning to you. that performer is the global rap star. and, no, you won't see the president doing the gangnam style. took to the stage for this performance just less than a decade after apologizing for anti-american performances. >> ho, ho, ho. >> reporter: a holiday tradition, christmas in washington. >> grateful to all the outstanding performers, the choirs, the glee clubs who are sharing their tremendous talents with us. >> reporter: to be aired on tnt later this month, the international rap sensation, riding his horse amidst controversy. the most watched youtube video of all time, nearly 1 billion views but psy has come under fire for other performances that only rec
we should note that the folks in new york hit hard by hurricane sandy are still paying, on average, $3.81 a gallon, 50 cents more than the rest of the country. prices there are also expected to start coming down. matt, back to you. >> tom costello, thank you very much. savann savannah? >>> the first family attended a party last night. peter alexander has more on this story. good morning to you. >> reporter: savannah, good morning to you. that performer is the global rap...
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Dec 9, 2012
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weighed heavily for community development's to help new york and new jersey recover from hurricane sandy. most of the focus is on the immediate recovery, it includes $13 billion as a downpayment towards longer-term payments to protect against future disaster. the question this morning is, as the president begins on his second term, john is joining us from illinois. caller: i will distract a little bit. i hear so much talk about cutting entitlements. we never hear about over spending government waste. cutting some of the money that we need a in order to serve our country. why can we ever hear about where money is going that it should not go like research for monkey science. that is my comment. host: thank you for the call. john on the republican line. caller: i just wanted to say i think the number one priority -- the biggest thing we are seeing in the business world, small businesses are not able to borrow money to expand it. no help from the banks whatsoever. we had to go to independent leasing program. i do not understand why president obama is the president everybody thinks he is. why
weighed heavily for community development's to help new york and new jersey recover from hurricane sandy. most of the focus is on the immediate recovery, it includes $13 billion as a downpayment towards longer-term payments to protect against future disaster. the question this morning is, as the president begins on his second term, john is joining us from illinois. caller: i will distract a little bit. i hear so much talk about cutting entitlements. we never hear about over spending government...